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Alan Greenspan and Adam Smith

This morning Reuters hosted a very timely and important discussion on the impact of the ongoing credit/liquidity crisis on the financial stability of major economies.  After a warm introduction by Prime Minister Gordon Brown, Alan Greenspan, former Chairman of the US Federal Reserve, shared his thoughts on the crisis.  These remarks have been well reported elsewhere - most notably, of course, on reuters.com.
 
In a private chat after the event, I had the chance to explore further with Dr. Greenspan the observation he made during his formal remarks that after a long and distinguished career as a central banker, he had concluded that human beings were naturally inclined to create and fall victim to speculative financial bubbles (e.g, the tulip bubble, the South Sea bubble, and, more recently, the equity and housing bubbles).  While this somewhat psychological explanation might seem at odds with the classical economic position often ascribed to Adam Smith, Dr. Greesnpan noted that one needed to read the far better known and widely read The Wealth of Nations alongside Smith's other great work, The Theory of Moral Sentiments.
 
In reaching for a more holistic interpretation of Adam Smith's legacy, Dr. Greenspan is, of course, very much in keeping with the recent work in behavioral economics which has come to challenge the view that all market participants are fully rational actors who will only act in their own self-interest.  If this summer's market shenanigans are any indication, this more humanistic side of the "dismal science" will be working overtime on new empirical data
Published Monday, October 01, 2007 10:00 PM by Tom Glocer

Comments

 

Professor Kennedy said:

I hope that having realised the limitations of rational homo economicus (a wholly modern construction designed to make the mathematical modelling simpler) people like Alan Greenspan are not going to encourage another diversion into the hopeless quest to ‘mathematicise’ human beings as if they are wooden pieces on a chess board (the illusion of ‘men of system’, as Adam Smith put it) with no principles of motion of their own.

Adam Smith never believed in a homo economicus, nor anything like it. Moral Sentiments is about humans as multi-motivated and complex individuals within societies, the main principle of which is that individual interests are mediated by the ‘mercenary exchange of good offices’ and the mediation of conflicting interests through ‘conversation’, ‘exchange’, and ‘learned’ acceptable behaviours in the proximity of others (the impartial spectator).
 
People are not universally identically rational; their self-interest does not always lead them to do the same things, and it certainly does not lead them (disembodied hands notwithstanding) to benefit society.

That Alan Greenspan is restless with his lifetime’s adherence to the Chicago version of Adam Smith, is encouraging. That he and others are edging towards reading Smith’s ‘Theory of Moral Sentiments’ is excellent news. It might help them if they re-read Adam Smith – the joined-up version, otherwise known as his Wealth Of Nations, instead of the series of selected quotations that commonly makes up their knowledge of what he was about.

I am doubly pleased that Tom Glocer, the CEO of Reuters, is aware of the need for this reading list because if Reuter’s journalists question opinion formers who utter incorrect attributions to Adam Smith, it could help turn the tide in restoring his lost legacy.
October 3, 2007 5:12 PM
 

flota said:

well I think its more of a herd mentality, increasing number of people chasing few assets.  Greenspan might argue that is very much behavioral in nature, but he cannot dispute that there were variables that created such a phenomenon as housing bubble in the first place.  The variables were low interest rates, loose credit lending standards and of course new creative/fancy ways of financing properties, but the key variables was probably the expectation that real estate asset will appreciate indefinitely.

There is a good paper by Robert Shiller which shows the effects of pervious housing bubbles in California and Florida.


http://cowles.econ.yale.edu/P/cd/d16a/d1610.pdf
October 7, 2007 3:09 AM
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